I'm not sure, maybe I'm on crack here (either tha or somebody else is)
But as yet there are NO pirated Xbox games, roms or whatever, or even a working emulator.
Much as I hate M$, they have put a lot of thought into how they will stop people ripping them off. They have to, if they really are running at a loss on the consoles. (Ever heard of giving away the razor and selling the blades?)
There is a hell of a lot of copy protection and whatever else in this system, and also, as far as I am aware, the game DVDs are designed to spin backwards, making it VERY hard to read in your PC DVD drive.
The Xbox will do well, because M$ are good at making people buy expensive things they dont really need/want, and the majority of people dont know any better. The Gamecube may have some much more enjoyable games, but for some people that doesnt matter. My money at the moment is on the PS2, because it already has a strong following, and a decent games list
(this is of course coming from someone who hasnt bought a console since the saturn)